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ExlService Holdings, Inc. (EXLS)·Q3 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q3 2025 delivered solid top-line and non-GAAP EPS growth: revenue $529.6M (+12.2% YoY, +2.9% QoQ) and adjusted diluted EPS $0.48 (+10.8% YoY); GAAP diluted EPS was $0.36 .
- EXLS raised FY25 guidance: revenue to $2.07–$2.08B and adjusted diluted EPS to $1.88–$1.92; call added FX gain $2–$3M, net interest income ~$1M, ETR 22–23%, capex $50–$55M .
- Data & AI-led revenue grew 18% YoY to 56% of total, supported by launch of EXLdata.ai and strong client adoption; digital operations grew 6% YoY .
- Results beat S&P Global consensus: Q3 revenue $529.6M vs $522.5M* and EPS $0.48 vs $0.465*; Q1–Q2 also beat on both metrics* (beats are a near-term sentiment catalyst) .
Values retrieved from S&P Global*
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- AI-led mix shift and product momentum: “data and AI-led revenue grew 18% year over year, reaching 56% of total revenue” .
- Segment breadth: Healthcare & Life Sciences grew 21.6% YoY to $135.3M; Insurance +8.5% to $180.5M; Banking/Capital Markets & Diversified +11.8% to $121.0M; International Growth Markets +8.4% to $92.8M .
- New client wins and EXLdata.ai launch: 21 new clients; EXLdata.ai (agentic AI data suite) launched with Databricks as partner, targeting data readiness for AI .
What Went Wrong
- Margin compression: GAAP operating margin declined to 14.4% (Q3) vs 15.8% (Q2) and 15.7% (Q1); adjusted operating margin 19.4% (Q3) vs 19.6% (Q2) and 20.1% (Q1), reflecting investments in front-end sales and new solutions .
- GAAP EPS sequential dip: $0.36 (Q3) vs $0.40 (Q2/Q1), partly due to the margin cadence and lower operating income vs Q2 .
- SG&A intensity: SG&A rose 120 bps YoY to 21.3% of revenue given sales/marketing investments, pressuring adjusted margins near term .
Financial Results
Summary P&L and Margins (USD, chronological: Q1 → Q2 → Q3)
Segment Revenue and Segment Gross Margin
Q3 vs S&P Global Consensus
Values retrieved from S&P Global*
KPIs and Balance Sheet Highlights
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “Data and AI-led revenue grew 18% year over year, reaching 56% of total revenue… This is the third consecutive quarter we have accelerated our data and AI-led revenue growth” – Rohit Kapoor .
- “We unveiled EXLdata.ai, the first-of-its-kind Agentic AI suite… more than 65 AI agents autonomously manage data modernization, governance, quality, lineage, and data accessibility” – Prepared remarks .
- Use cases: UK insurer underwriting workflow (processing reduced from a week to hours; +7% code conversion), large US healthcare data platform, and UK energy/home services client (35% transactions AI-enabled; ~30% productivity improvement) .
- Margin cadence and investment: “SGA increased by 120 bps YoY to 21.3%, driven by investments in front-end sales and marketing… adjusted operating margin 19.4%, down 50 bps YoY” – Maurizio Nicolelli .
Q&A Highlights
- Demand shift and sustainability: TAM expanding; AI moving from POCs to production; AI-led business alone can support double-digit company growth .
- Digital operations growth and mix: Net growth 6% YoY with significant revenue shifting to AI-led as EXL embeds AI into workflows .
- Revenue-per-employee: Upward trend expected over several years as mix shifts to higher-value AI work; headcount growth to trail revenue growth .
- Healthcare runway: Market is enormous, data-rich, adopting AI; payment integrity and domain ops growing, significant headroom remains .
- Margin outlook: Expect ~10–20 bps annual improvement, with Q1 a better reflection of annual margin, more balanced cadence next year .
- EXLdata.ai positioning: Differentiates by using AI to make data AI-ready across lineage, governance, MDM, and unstructured data; first-of-its-kind per management .
- International strategy: Investing in senior talent, local partnerships; applying US solutions into international geographies .
Estimates Context
Values retrieved from S&P Global*
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Beat-and-raise quarter: EXLS delivered revenue and EPS beats vs S&P consensus and raised FY25 guidance, a constructive setup for estimate revisions and near-term sentiment .
- Structural mix shift to AI: 56% of revenue now AI/data-led with 18% YoY growth; EXLdata.ai should deepen moat around data readiness—a key bottleneck for enterprise AI adoption .
- Margin cadence reflects investment: Near-term adjusted margin compression driven by sales/capability build; management reiterates 10–20 bps annual improvement path, implying medium-term EPS leverage .
- Healthcare is a growth engine: Sustained >20% growth with large TAM and data-driven opportunities; pipeline supports medium-term durability .
- Digital ops resilient despite AI deflation concerns: Client productivity gains offset by scope expansions; revenue maintained or grows as EXL captures more work and new AI use cases .
- Capital returns and balance sheet: Strong 9M operating cash flow ($233M), continuing buybacks (ASR $125M), and net cash position ($38M) offer optionality for investment and returns .
- Trading lens: Near term, the guidance raise and AI momentum are catalysts; watch margin trajectory in Q4/Q1 and execution on EXLdata.ai deployments to sustain premium narrative .